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Delimitation labeled ‘shambolic gerrymander’

Branton Matondo

Following an amplification of the delimitation exercise and publishing of preliminary delimitation report by Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC), Mutare stakeholders and residents expressed resentment on the process which they said was not only shrouded in partiality but guided by professional malpractice.
Though ZEC intensified efforts on restructuring the 210 constituencies across the country, stakeholders have questioned the lack of proper consultation by ZEC which they said have an impact on the whole process.
Speaking to TellZim at a recently held engagement meeting with residents in Mutare Central constituency, Member of Parliament Innocent Gonese said the delimitation process was not partial enough.
“I would say that the delimitation process was done in a shadowy and haphazard manner. In Harare, for example there should have been four more constituencies. ZEC should have also considered massive rural to urban migration meaning that more constituencies should have been created in urban areas. In actual fact urban areas like Mutare, Harare and Bulawayo have high numbers of registered voters adding up to the total provincial voter registration,” said Gonese.
Residents also blamed the election governing body of poor consultation.
Nomatter Chigwigwi, a resident from Sakubva said a majority of residents from Mutare Central constituency do not know about delimitation while others misinterpret the exercise.
“From the start delimitation created confusion. I believe that it’s a motive driven programme. The exercise has created a lot of confusion because there is unfair distribution of voters in the 19 wards that span across Mutare Central Constituency,” said Chigwigwi.
According to the preliminary ZEC report. Mutare district has a total of 24 polling stations.
Investigations indicate that the 24 polling centers are assigned to wrong wards with some of them more than 20 km apart.
Affected constituencies are Mutare South, North and West, Makoni South and Chimanimani West.
“Apart from that inconsistency, we then have the issue of margin interpretation by ZEC which is clear and simple. This is in reference to the 20percent variance. It’s not supposed to be 40percent but the maximum is supposed to be 20percent,” added Gonese.
Gonese also questioned the manner at which ZEC carried its consultative sessions.
“The consultative process was not done in a proper manner. When you are the overall electoral body, you should consult both the necessary stakeholders and the people because that’s where the vote comes from. Consultations were like ‘take it or leave it’. There was no consultation as to what people thought but more of what ZEC thought. They were simply telling people what they had done without considering community leaders, political parties just to mention a few,” added Gonese.
Contestations over ZEC accountability and transparency have also taken center stage in various provinces across Zimbabwe.
Focal point group Team PACHEDU prepared a report revealing discrepancies existing within the report.
According to the Preliminary report published by ZEC Zimbabwe has 212 constituencies compared to the 210 established making the remaining two ghost constituencies.
There is also speculation that ZEC, which is said to be displaying ‘professional malpractice’ is strategically targeting specific constituencies to garnish votes for the ruling party.

Chiredzi west MP tears into Minister Moyo

…Demands Minister to come clean on 750 ha

Beatific Gumbwanda

CHIREDZI-West Member of Parliament, Farai Musikavanhu recently challenged Minister of Local Government and Public Works, July Moyo to come clean on Chiredzi’s 750 hectare project while he bemoaned corruption by Zanu PF councilors as the reason behind the party garnering only four seats out of the six they initially held before 2018 harmonized elections.
Musikavanhu recently addressed Chiredzi vendors at their various working spaces where he opened up on the contents of the investigation report initiated in 2016 and released only this year, which directly implicated his rival, Francis Moyo who was Council Chairperson during the period, while exposing a new land scandal unfolding at the joint project between Chiredzi Town Council (CTC) and Chiredzi Rural District Council (CRDC) for urban expansion.
“Residents requested for an investigation on the anomalies in council, whose findings were kept under the carpet by the Ministry of Local Government and Public Works. The Second Republic under the Leadership of President Mnangagwa is moving with a zero tolerance to corruption mantra, where I also pledged to work tirelessly to get that report in order to establish whether the residents’ complaints were justified.
“Now people are worried over the 750 ha which is set to be opened soon for urban expansion. This report (Investigation report) will enable us to determine the root causes of corruption so that we will be able to correct it in the present situation. I then wrote to the Minister July Moyo after the Clerk of Court had advised me to move a motion, which I thought will put my Minister into disrepute and decided to write to him.
“I also went with the letter to the Minister of State for Masvingo Provincial affairs and Zimbabwe Anti-Corruption Commission (ZACC) as well as opened a case there. When I was elected, Zanu PF had six councilors out of 8 who were corrupt to the extent that in 2018 we dropped to four councilors. Saviour Kasukuwere (former minister of local government) who ordered the investigation crossed the border, the current Minister (July Moyo) also kept the report under the carpet in the Second Republic which is zero tolerant to corruption and even discovered that he is also completely dipped into the pool of corruption. I am telling you this because it is my oversight role to tell you and I have no intention to occupy July Moyo’s office because it is no longer the time to do that,” said Musikavanhu.
Full Life Open Arms Africa Investments (FLOAAI), a company which was awarded a tender through ‘unsolicited’ bidding to do a feasibility study for the development of Chiredzi’s 750 hectare project for urban expansion, is allegedly being reprimanded for fronting the interests of Minister July Moyo while depriving Chiredzi Rural and Town Councils which were jointly awarded the land.
In 2013 harmonized elections, Zanu PF got 6 out of 8 wards with councilors Francis Moyo (ward 4), who was the Chairperson, Tarusenga Makamba (ward 3), the late Samuel Mashonganyika (ward 6), The late Jester Muteyaunga (ward 2), Costen Mombe (ward 6) and Antony Mapfumo (ward 8), with Jester Muteyaunga being later replaced by Obert Ngwenya after her death while ward five’s Munyaradzi Hatinahama who was MDC councilor was replaced by Blessings Mazinyani after he was convicted and sentenced to prison.
During the 2018 harmonized elections, only four seats were retained by Zanu PF, with Obert Ngwenya (2), Liberty Macharaga (4), Josphat Nzombe (8), Blessings Mazinyani (5) managing to represent Zanu PF in the local authority and Musikavanhu is merely blaming the previous councilors’ corrupt tendencies as the reason which led them to underperform in 2018.
The investigation report of 2016 findings revealed that the local authority is not tendering high profile projects and that has led to FLOAAI, which is being represented by an alleged Pastor Godfrey Nelson Madanyaya to ‘dubiously’ get a tender to develop the 750 ha for urban expansion and has been selling undeveloped land to Tongaat Hulett employees and some civil servants without prior knowledge of both CTC and CRDC.

Robbers pounce on Gweru family, rape two minors

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Tinaani Nyabereka

Gweru- Police in Gweru are investigating a rape and robbery case where three suspects pounced on a family of four in Ascot suburb and robbed them of their cash, cell phones before raping two minor girls.
After the act, the suspects subsequently drove away with the family’s Nissan caravan vehicle which had various hardware tools for sale inside.
Midlands Police Spokesperson Inspector Emmanuel Mahoko confirmed the incident that happened on February 2, 2023 at around 0300hrs.
“As the police we are appealing to members of the public for any information that may lead to the arrest of the suspects or they approach the nearest police station.
“We urge members of the public to enhance their security measures especially when they keep high value property. We further remind the public not to keep large sums of money in their houses,” he said.
On the fateful night, the three unknown accused persons armed with an axe and a hoe forcibly opened the family house’s entrance door using iron bars and suddenly demanded cash from the occupants while threatening them with death.
The three proceeded on to tie the husband and his wife with twine, covered them with blankets and assaulted them while demanding cash.
They then ransacked the whole house searching for cash and some portable valuable property before taking the keys of a Nissan caravan vehicle.
As if that was not enough, the suspects reportedly went on to rape the family’s two children who were sleeping in another bedroom before getting away with seven cellphones, two laptops, cash US$900, various hardware tools and a Nissan caravan all valued at US$ 14 770.
In another robbery incident, a 20 year-old Gweru woman was recently attacked by four robbers during the day at her place of residence.
The victim Shamaine Musewe who resides in Woodlands phase 1 Gweru was robbed of her money in broad daylight.
Circumstance given is that on January 25 at around 1530 hours, Musewe was at home when she heard a knock on her door.
She opened the door to attend to the visitor but as she opened is alleged that Herbert Chawatama (23) grabbed her by the neck and started strangling her while other three (male) suspects demanded for safe keys.
After that, one of the suspects allegedly struck Musewe on the shoulder with an axe and she showed them where the safe keys were.

Account for miner’s deaths – CSOs tell Sakupwanya

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Branton Matondo

Mutare-Following the recent closure of Better Brands run Redwing mine in Penhalonga by Environmental Management Agency (EMA), civil society organizations and Penhalonga community have challenged owner prominent gold dealer and Zanu PF big wig Pedzisai ‘Scott” Sakupwanya to own up for the loss of artisanal miners’ lives and shoddy mining activities that took place at the mine.
According to a recent joint statement by Center for Research and Development (CRD), Penhalonga Youth Development and Ratepayers Trust and Ziva Community Empowerment Trust, around 100 artisanal miners lost their lives due to unsafe working conditions at Redwing Mine.
EMA presumably responded to the situation by closing the mine.
CRD Director James Mupfumi said government should conduct proper operations at Redwing Mine to determine standard working operations.
“Government should heed to our call to effect a ban on surface mining because operations were dangerous to human lives amid glaring evidence of tax evasion and mineral leakages. Our position is for government to ensure due diligence is undertaken to restore underground mining operations that are safe and conducive for Redwing Mine. We also expect parliament to hold them to account for the loss that has taken place at Redwing Mine,” said Mupfumi.
He added that Sakupwanya should not stand above the law following his defiance of EMA’s directive to close the mine.
“He cannot be bigger than government. The Penhalonga community has made a statement to government against Sakupwanya’s shoddy mining activities in line with the dictates of the constitution. It is expected of government to follow its own laws and ensure that he is held accountable. We are watching closely developments on the ground and we will soon approach government with new evidence,” added Mupfumi.
However efforts to get comment from the mine’s Human Resources manager identified as Dr Madhume were fruitless as he declined to shed light on the issue saying he ceased to be the company’s employee soon after its closure.
Penhalonga community members have called out for the attorney general in line with statutes of the constitution to investigate the deaths with diligence.
TellZim News got in touch with a Penhalonga resident who commented on the deaths of artisanal miners on the grounds of anonymity.
“Government has an obligation to balance business and human rights as enshrined in the constitution. Therefore the attorney general must ensure that those deaths are investigated in a transparent manner for responsible authorities to account,” said the source.
Zimbabwe Diamonds and Allied Workers Union (ZIDAWU) Chairperson Cosmos Sunguro told this publication that Redwing had a bad record of poorly remunerating workers adding the mine had become a danger zone due to shoddy mining activities and ‘militia mining’ shrouded in violence.
“Redwing Mine in Penhalonga should operate within the statutes of the law. Once the issue of safety and health is not adhered to, definitely they need to remain closed. As ZIDAWU, we hope that the company itself is going to take action on issues of workers’ welfare. There is also an issue of contractual obligations. The company needs to pay workers even when it’s under closure. It is also a cause of concern for ZIDAWU in terms of accidents. Recently we have had accidents surging, be it artisanal or formal miners. Government, stakeholders and trade unions need to up the scale in terms of training, awareness and workers safety,” said Sunguro.
Meanwhile, government has unveiled a US$ 10 million package to value add gold refinery sector.
Minister of Finance and Economic Development Mtuli Ncube said the money will be divided into two. US$ 5 million will effect construction of gold refinery point in Mt Darwin, Penhalonga, and two places in Matabeleland and Midlands while the other half will be loaned to artisanal miners.

Acting Gweru TC nabbed for abuse of office

Tinaani Nyabereka

Gweru- The Zimbabwe Anti-Corruption Commission (ZACC) officers have today (February 17) arrested City of Gweru Acting Town Clerk Vakayi Chikwekwe on allegations of Criminal abuse of duty.
Chikwekwe was charged with alleged abuse of office as defined in Section 174(1) (a) of the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Act (Chapter 9:23) or in the alternative c/s Section 94 (3) of the Public Procurement and Disposal (Regulations) Statutory Instrument (SI) 5 of 2018.
Appearing before Gweru Provincial magistrate Miriam Banda, Chikwekwe who was represented by Tonderai Chitere, of Chitere, Chidawanyika and Partners was granted ZW$ 100 000 bail and also ordered to report once every fortnight at ZACC offices in Gweru.
Chikwekwe will appear in court on March 17, 2023 and is not allowed to interfere with State witnesses at the local authority, or PRAZ.
According to State papers, the complainant in the matter is Tapiwa Hove who is employed by the Procurement Regulatory Authority of Zimbabwe (PRAZ) as a Legal Manager.
The State led by Fredrick Matsheza says Chikwekwe’s duties as the Accounting Officer for the City of Gweru among others include responsibility of ensuring that procurement activities of a procuring entity are carried out in compliance with the Public Procurement and Disposal of Public Assets Act [Chapter 22:235) and any other directions of the PRAZ.
Sometime in 2020, Gweru City Council reportedly wanted to develop and service Mkoba 21 stands and as such on May 29, 2020, the local authority advertised an invitation of expression of interest in the Zimbabwean Government Gazette for tender number COG/01/06/2020.
Eight prospective bidders submitted their applications and on June 30, 2020, the Technical Evaluation Committee recommended that Sheasham Investments, Casas Properties and Wackdrive Pvt Ltd be shortlisted as they were compliant with the mandatory requirements.
On July 3, 2020, the Procurement Management Unit Committee which was chaired by Chikwekwe as the Acting Town Clerk approved the recommendation made by the Technical Evaluation Committee. Further, the Procurement Management Unit Committee is said to have recommended that the tender be submitted to the Special Procurement Oversight Committee.
The accused as the Accounting Officer submitted the tender documents to the Procurement Oversight Committee for review on July 29, 2020.
The state alleged that he was supposed to obtain clearance from the Special Procurement Oversight Committee with regard to the documents he had submitted on July 29, 2020 for review.
However, Chikwekwe reportedly proceeded to award contracts to the three bidders on August 18, 2020 without clearance from the Special Procurement Oversight Committee in contravention of Section 94 (3) of the Public Procurement and Disposal of the Public Assets Act- (General) Regulations SI 5 of 2018 which requires for certification by the Procurement Oversight Committee before awarding a contract.
The court heard that on August 20, 2020, PRAZ wrote a letter directing the accused to collect bids, extend bid validity, correct the evaluation reports and submit the revised evaluation reports which show that the Special Procurement Oversight Committee had not certified the awarding of the contracts to the three developers.

Vic High hosts Masvingo district schools 2023 athletics extravaganza

TellZim Reporter

All roads will lead to Victoria High in Masvingo on February 17, 2023 where a total of 63 secondary schools (Masvingo district) are set to parade their best athletes as they compete in preparation for the provincial finals to be held later in early March.

Confirming the event, National Association of Secondary Heads (NASH) Masvingo district Head in Charge Kura Chizimba said the athletics extravaganza will kick-off as early as 0730 hours on February 17.

“Yes, Victoria High School is set to host a total of 63 secondary schools whose participants are going to battle it out at Masvingo District Athletics Finals for the year 2023.

“The competitions are held as part of selection for the district team and preparations for the provincial finals to be hosted by Mwenezi Government secondary school on March 2, 2023 if no changes come into effect,” said Chizimba.

According to Chizimba, the schools are divided into ten zones namely Zone A (Makomba, Mavhiringidze, St Francis, Mazambara and Kushinga), Zone B (Ndarama, Masvingo Christian, Mucheke, M. Hugo, Victoria, Zimuto, Makanaka and Vision Academy), Zone C (Chirichoga, Ruvhure and Morgenster), Zone D (Mapokomhere, Mapanzure, Manunure, Chekai, Chevanhu, Gunikuni and Mukosi), Zone E ( Tugwane, Nyabata, Mudarikwa, Madzivanyika and Maweza), Zone F (Zivezano, Rambakutemwa, Daitai and Makoni), Zone G (Gokomere, Masvingo Day, Matova, St Stansilous, Bere, Chidzikwe, Temeraire, Zvamahande and Gundura), Zone H (Mutendi, Rumwanda, Mazare and Wendedzo), Zone I (Chabaya, Bondolfi, Mukonde, Zvehuru, Mushandike, Mushawasha West and Shingirirai College) and Zone J (RCZ Nyajena, Chiwawa, Makotore, Nyikavanhu and Magudu).

Learners in various age groups (Under 15, 17 and 20) will battle it out in high and long and triple jumps, short put, discus and track events (100, 200, 400, 800, 1 500, 3 000, 5 000 and 10 000 meters including relays and 80 and 300 m hurdles.

Former Fc Platinum ace joins Zambian side Konkola Blades

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Branton Matondo

Former FC Platinum goalkeeper has joined the great trek of footballers seeking greener pastures by making a move north of the Zambezi where he joined Konkola Blades FC on a three year contract.
Speaking to TellZim News the former FC Platinum underrated goal minder Spencer Ngwerume expressed excitement on the move to Zambian ZEDBOLA National First Division side Konkola Blades.
“It’s always good to taste fresh waters. Konkola Blades are a big team this side. It’s a new challenge for me because l am learning to play football differently. The system is different so l have to adapt and get used to it so that l can settle. They have a project to go back into Premier Soccer League and it’s an honor to be part of that project,” said Ngwerume.
He added that football in Zambia is a bit physically demanding as compared to that played in Zimbabwe.
“Yes, football this side is a bit physical as compared to the way we play in Zimbabwe. Your fitness level determines the way you perform. But all in all, the league is competitive. I can’t wait to register my first debut and contribute to the team,” added Ngwerume.
Konkola Blades who are under the tutelage of John Munkonje occupy third position after 19 games.
At the summit of the National first division is Trident Fc with 38 points followed by Mufulira Wanderers on 36 points.
They were relegated from the MTN Super League 2022 edition.
Ngwerume joins fellow countryman Colleen Phiri who plies his trade with City of Lusaka currently on position 9 with 27 points on the log standings.
Ngwerume last played local football with newly promoted Gweru-based Sheasham FC who got promoted from Ruvimbo Funeral Central Region Division 1
League and is a product of FC Platinum Under-19 side before he was promoted to the senior team from 2017 to 2019.
He was a fourth choice goal keeper in goal guarding pack led by first choice Petros Mhari.

ZEC Delimitation Report exposes serious gerrymandering

…MP Togarepi fights, wins back Gutu South constituency
…Senior Govt officials dismiss final report

TellZim Reporter

MASVINGO – The final delimitation report that was handed over to President Emmerson Mnangagwa by the Zimbabwe Election Commission (ZEC) chairperson Justice Priscila Chigumba is said to have glaring errors that exposed extreme political influence and gerrymandering by the ruling party Zanu PF.
The delimitation report has since widened the rift between two Zanu PF factions, with the one inclined to Vice President Constantino Chiwenga on cloud nine amid claims that it heavily influenced the whole process, a development which puts the credibility of ZEC at stake.

Gerrymandering

Suspicions of gerrymandering are evidenced by glaring errors and decisions by ZEC during the constituencies’ boundaries delimitation. In Gutu district, ZEC initially dissolved Gutu South in its preliminary delimitation report, only to overturn the decision after the incumbent Gutu South MP Pupurai Togarepi put them to task when he chaired the Parliament AdHoc Committee that analyzed the delimitation preliminary report.
Togarepi raised pertinent question that, according to reliable sources that confided to TellZim, forced ZEC to bring back Gutu South in the final report. The Zanu PF Chief whip questioned the criteria that the electoral body used to dissolve Gutu South ahead of other constituencies in the district when the constituency had a large number of registered voters than other constituencies like Gutu North.
Sources revealed to TellZim that ZEC reacted to the Parliament analysis report by dissolving Gutu North instead, and brought back Gutu South in its final report that Justice Chigumba submitted to President Mnangagwa recently.
While it is known that the delimitation process requires experts who can use maps, GPS and coordinates to come up with new constituency boundaries, reliable sources in Zanu PF, analysts and experts said the process can be gerrymandered by influencing the professionals so that they can adjust the boundaries in order to appease the interests of the ‘invisible hand.’
“There is high suspicion of gerrymandering; and the way a certain political party is bragging about having influenced the delimitation process is boggling. The disagreements by the ZEC commissioners is a clear testimony that there is likely an invisible hand behind the scenes that is influencing the whole process,” said one analyst.
Now that Gutu North has been dissolved in the final delimitation report, powerful Zanu PF political figures in Gutu district are back on the table strategizing for next possible moves in the event that President Mnangagwa gazetted the proposed boundaries ahead of 2023 general elections.
The district has too many powerful political figures including Senator Lovemore Matuke who is the Zanu PF secretary for security, Minister of Mines and Mining Development Winston Chitando (Gutu Central MP), Yeukai Simbanegavi, the deputy minister of National Housing and Social Amenities (Gutu North MP), Minister of Higher and Tertiary Education Prof Amon Murwira (Non-Constituency MP), Women’s league national member Beritha Chikwama (Gutu East MP) and the national youth deputy chair John Paradza (Gutu West MP) as well as Togarepi the Zanu PF chief whip (Gutu South MP).
Simbanegavi is now set to move from the dissolved Gutu North and contest for the Gutu West seat, whilst the incumbent Gutu West MP Paradza will move to contest for the youth quota seat.
Sources in Zanu PF told TellZim that Paradza is already lobbying for the youth quota seat and is strategically positioned to get it as he is the most senior youth league member in the province and second nationally.
If the new boundaries are used in the next elections, Gutu will be left with only four constituencies instead of five, though it is not yet clear whether the new boundaries will be used or not.

Furore over the final delimitation report

There has been apparent confusion following ZEC Chairperson Priscilla Chigumba’s submission of some documents to President Emmerson Mnangagwa on February 3, 2023 which according to some senior government officials and media reports were the final delimitation report. Government however, made a sudden u-turn and claimed the report Justice Chigumba submitted to the President was not the final one. Permanent Secretary in the ministry of Media, Information and Broadcasting Services Nick Mangwana was the first to dismiss the report as not being the final delimitation report through his twitter account. His post contradicted the State media which was present at the event when the report was submitted, and more importantly, which he superintends over. Sources in government and Zanu PF said Nick is playing factional politics.
“The report that was submitted by ZEC chair is the final draft. However, a faction linked to President Mnangagwa feels the report is not favorable to them and they want ZEC to further review it that’s why people like Nick (Mangwana) are now saying the report is not the final one. A faction aligned to Vice President Chiwenga however, is insisting the report is the final one and there is no going back,” the source said.
Constitutional law expert Professor Lovemore Madhuku said the buck stops with ZEC if there are any issues regarding elections, as it is the one with the constitutional mandate to manage elections and electoral processes.
Prof Madhuku said if President Mnangagwa does not comply with the timelines, then it was up to ZEC to take action and ensure that elections are run smoothly.
“The obligation is on ZEC as an independent body to inform the nation by an appropriate notice. If you are the ZEC and you have gone to the President to give him a final delimitation report which you know that in terms of the constitution it has implications, you must make an announcement to the country in that regard.
“The way out of what appears to be uncertainty is for ZEC to make it clear that they submitted a final report to the President—there is no limit to the number of times ZEC can confirm that it submitted the final report,” Prof Madhuku said.
He added that in case the President fails to comply with the requirements of the law to gazette a final delimitation report, ZEC should then take steps to make sure that he complies.
“ZEC is responsible for contacting elections according to the law. If the President doesn’t gazette and the ZEC believes it has complied it means ZEC will not be able to do its work because of not having the delimitation report.
“ZEC must be preparing for elections; there are so many things it should be doing now in anticipation of the elections and those things are dependent on these boundaries, so it has to be sure which boundaries it is using for the next elections.
“Should ZEC believe that the President has not done what he was supposed to, it is the responsibility of ZEC to take the President up legally because they are the ones with the duty to conduct elections. Let ZEC go to court or use other machinery because they are the ones with that duty,” Prof Madhuku said.
Other constitutional law experts also concurred that the law does not provide for any other delimitation report that is not the final to be handed to the President, contrary to what government said that ZEC had submitted a revised preliminary delimitation report not the final one.
The final report should be gazetted by February 25, 2023 for the new boundaries to be used in the 2023 harmonized elections, giving the six months window period before elections in accordance with the constitution.
“The law is very clear; the report that was submitted to the President is the final report and it is expected to be gazetted by February 25, 2023. All this noise we are hearing are attempts to influence ZEC to change the report in favour of Zanu PF,” he said.

Inflation plunges in January 2023: Is RBZ doing it right now?

By Zvikomborero Sibanda

The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) usually announces its monetary policy statement (MPS) in February of every year. A monetary policy is a list of actions to be taken by a country’s central bank to influence how much money is in the economy and how much it costs to borrow. It is implemented through various tools including inter alia the adjustment of interest rates, trading of government securities, and altering the amount of money circulating in the economy. This policy’s primary objectives are to manage inflation or unemployment and maintain currency exchange rates and financial market stability.
As such, the success of a central bank is generally measured by the prevailing level of price inflation and currency performance. The latest statistics from Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZimStat) show prices massively cooling off in January 2023. In annual terms (January 2022-January 2023), the inflation rate as measured by the all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 229.8% relative to 60.61% recorded in January 2022. The January 2023 annual inflation outturn is 14 percentage points lower than the 243.8% realized in December 2022 and the lowest in seven (7) months. ZimStat statistics also showed that from a month-on-month perspective, the price inflation rate in January 2023 was 1.1% shedding 1.3 percentage points on the December 2022 rate of 2.4%.
ZimStat time series data shows that the monthly inflation rate for January 2023 is the lowest outturn since September 2018. In that September, it was recorded at 0.92% before it however jumped to 16.44% in the following month when austerity measures such as the 2% tax were introduced. After mounting by 14.31% on average in the first half of 2022 from 5.34% in January to 30.7% in June, the monthly inflation rate is falling ever since save for December. It decelerated to 25.6% in July and had now closed January 2023 at 1.1%. Buoyed by this increased moderation of price growth, authorities through the 2023 national budget statement are projecting monthly inflation to average 1-3%.
The late Milton Friedman who popularized the theory of monetarism posited that the antidote to price inflation was higher interest rates, which in turn reduces the money supply. Consequently, prices will fall as people would have less money to spend. In short, Friedman argued that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. As such, authorities should not rapidly increase the money supply as this is counterproductive by fuelling inflation. There is a wide consensus that the increase should be gradual to circumvent higher unemployment rates. Theoretically, this would help establish a Goldilocks economy -a period of stable economic growth where inflation remains low and RBZ does not feel the need to increase interest rates.
From the foregoing, Zimbabwean experiences surely validate the monetary theory. Excessive money supply growth is the major culprit causing ZWL deterioration and its resultant pass-through effect on inflation. For instance, RBZ statistics show a staggering reserve money supply growth of 170%, 113%, and 38% in 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. During this 2019-2021 period, ZWL lost about 10.7% of its value on average per month. In response, both annual and monthly price inflation grew at an unsustainable rate averaging 339.3% and 11.6% per month respectively.
As for 2022, annual inflation raged havoc in the first half mounting from 60.61% in January to close June at 191.7% as monthly prices upscaled at an unsustainable 14.31% on average. According to its 2023 Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), it is RBZ’s increased financial tightening that helped cool down inflation in the second half. For instance, it revealed that both local and foreign currency statutory reserves constituted 90% of total reserve money as of the end of December 2022. As such, since these statutory reserves are locked up in RBZ vaults and therefore unavailable for on-lending by banks, their increase helped reduce the money supply in circulation. The MPS also indicated that excess bank reserves –ZWL balances at RBZ– declined from around ZW$14 billion in 2021 to less than ZW$100 million by end-December 2022 thus signifying further tightening of liquidity conditions.
The foregoing highlights from the 2023 MPS confirm my view that the Russia-Ukraine war was not the significant driver of exchange rate and price volatility in Zimbabwe. Massive ZWL depreciation since its re-introduction in 2019 and subsequent accelerated price growth is highly linked to the increased money supply. To curb these volatilities, this column has been calling for tight monetary targeting to attain sustainable ZWL liquidity growth in the system.
Taking the 2023 MPS at face value, these are the actions the Bank confirms to have taken in order to arrest price instability. This is enough evidence that going forward RBZ should maintain sustainable levels of ZWL liquidity in the system to help achieve a Goldilocks economy. Sustainable liquidity growth is the one that keeps parallel market exchange rate premia within conventional threshold levels of between 0-20%. In simple terms, money supply growth in the economy should move in tandem with the rate of growth of economic activity in the real sector.
Nevertheless, as I alluded to a fortnight ago, 2023 is going to be a challenging year for monetary policymakers. The desired Goldilocks economy only comes when fiscal and monetary policies are complementary. This year, Treasury is expected to experience an unsustainable budget overrun due to the upcoming harmonized elections. Election seasons are highly distortionary as political pressures increase the possibility of fiscal policy slippages and reversals. Studies have shown that incumbent governments facing re-election tend to display dovish spending tendencies as political goals are prioritized at the expense of the long-term health of the general economy and the welfare of citizens.
More so, apart from harmonized elections, Zimbabwe will likely continue to face prolonged load-shedding hours for most of 2023 as the usable water level in Kariba Dam remains significantly low and forex shortages will constrain production at existing old thermal stations which frequently breakdown. As such, power shortages at a time prices of electricity substitutes like fuel are expected to remain elevated will balloon production costs and subdued activity in the real sector thereby worsening the already high cost of living. As the West now starts considering supplying Ukraine with heavy and advanced weapons, the Russia-Ukraine war will likely shift to a whole new level with serious global risk. The disruptions to supply chains induced by the war and ensuing global inflation exert disproportionate impacts on developing nations like Zimbabwe which are perennial net importers. In addition, there is a possibility of a severe trade war between the US and China as the former had already instituted rules prohibiting the sale of advanced semiconductor chips to Chinese customers.
The 2023 environment poses a monetary policy-making dilemma as the need for a contractionary stance to cool inflationary pressures may be overshadowed by the expansionary fiscal stance driven by election-linked spending. Cognizant of this, it is likely going to be a daunting task for RBZ to keep the average monthly inflation rate at 1.5%. Therefore, next week this column will analyze if the policy actions proposed in the 2023 monetary policy are adequate to boost ZWL appeal and arrest macroeconomic instability.

Zvikomborero Sibanda is an economic analyst and an astute researcher. He writes in his personal capacity. He can be contacted via email:

bravosibanda@gmail.com
Twitter: @bravon96

Gutu women bemoan lack of maternity facilities

Theresa Takafuma

Women from the Chipara area under Chief Makore in Gutu have lamented the lack of accessible maternity services as local health care centers do not have adequate facilities to cater for them.
Pregnant women end up walking long distances to access prenatal and antenatal care, as the available health centers are mostly private and unaffordable for the rural folk who have to part with certain amounts of money in order to be assisted by qualified midwives.
In an interview, Miriam Magoga, a woman from Chipara Village said they go to a private clinic at Guni, and have to pay maternity fees to be attended to, and the only other option is to trek to Cheshuro or Nerupiri Rural Health Centre which are very far away.
“To register your pregnancy you have to part with US$20, and when you go to deliver you then pay another US$15, which is hardly affordable for most of us. This then leads to women giving birth at home because the options are equally difficult.
“The other issue is that at the clinic there are no perinatal care services and for us to have our babies immunized we have to go to the nearest clinics like Nerupiri which is many kilometres away,” Magoga said.
Another woman, Jessica Matara, who recently gave birth at the private clinic at Guni said it was difficult to access water when she went to give birth there, and people had to walk about 5km to fetch water for her to use.
“The challenge at the clinic is water and people had to walk nearly 5km to access water. The other problem is that you have to buy your own injections. After giving birth you are told to go to Cheshuro Rural Health Centre which is over 20km away and you can imagine how it is for a woman who has just given birth.
Hilda Chipara, from the same area said local clinics do not assist first time mothers, those with pregnancy complications and women who have had multiple births.
She said for first time mothers in the area it then becomes difficult especially if they do not have money, making them vulnerable to birth complications, birth injuries, even deaths.
“Our local clinics do not accept mhandatsva (new mothers) and that leaves them with little to no option but to resort to home births. At Cheshuro they do that because they say if you have complications they do not have transport to ferry you to a bigger hospital.
“They also do not have waiting homes so it then becomes difficult if a woman gets into labour to walk all the way to the health center in that condition, as there is no transport,” Chipara said.